Doug Martin, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
If Martin can’t get it done this week, he might be worth cutting. Martin gets the Dolphins this week. Miami has allowed monster days to running backs in the past three weeks. Last week, the fins brought Jonathan Stewart back to fantasy relevance. Stewart rushed for 110 yards on 17 carries. Two weeks ago, Marshawn Lynch had 57 yards on 14 carries and two scores. In Week 8, Baltimore’s Alex Collins rushed for 113 yards on 18 carries. It’s got to be a get right week for Martin.
Tyler Kroft, TE, Cincinnati Bengals
It’s a battle of orange as the Broncos host the Bengals this Sunday. Denver has been woeful against tight ends this season, with the team’s tough secondary causing opponents to funnel targets to the position. Hunter Henry (the second time around), Evan Engram and Travis Kelce all had great days against the Broncos. The Patriots and Eagles used multiple tight ends to success as well. Denver is allowing 8.2 passes per game and 78.2 yards per game to opposing tight ends according to Football Outsiders. Kroft makes for a great play Sunday.
Sterling Shepard, WR, New York Giants
The Giants’ offense leaves much to be desired but Shepard has a fine matchup this Sunday against Kansas City who have given up 16 passing touchdowns on the season and 259 passing yards a game. I like Shepard as a volume play here, especially in points per reception formats after Kansas City allowed a combined 214 receiving yards to Dez Bryant and Terrance Williams in their Week 9 matchup.
Marshawn Lynch, RB, Oakland Raiders
When the Raiders and the Patriots face off south of the border in Mexico City, look for Beast Mode to make an appearance in a friendly matchup. Despite all the talk about New England’s improvements on defense, the Pats are still allowing quite a few yards on the ground. The defending Super Bowl champs rank in the bottom third of the league in terms of total rushing yards allowed and dead last in terms of yards allowed per carry at 5. Take faith in the fact even C.J. Anderson and Jamaal Charges of the bad Broncos gashed the Pats for 5.4 and 4.8 yard-per-carry averages. Don’t forget Melvin Gordon’s 14-carry, 132-yard performance against that Patriots in Week 8 either, during which he had an 87-yard touchdown. Lynch is a fine play come Sunday.
Samaje Perine, RB, Washington Redskins
Perine may be getting more work with Rob Kelley out for the season on injured reserve but his matchup against the Saints on Sunday leaves much to be desired. The Saints have allowed three rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs in 2017, per Pro Football Reference. The Saints shut down LeSean McCoy last week, holding him to just 49 yards on eight carries. Doug Martin had a measly seven yards on eight carries the week prior. Stay away from Perine Sunday.
Adrian Peterson, RB, Arizona Cardinals
Peterson has turned into a matchup-based start. He had big games against San Francisco and Tampa Bay but turned up duds against Seattle and the Rams, making him a predictable play. This week, the Cardinals face off against the Texans who have only allowed one rushing touchdown to opposing backs all year. Houston is allowing just 3.7 yards per rush. Having said that, I'll give you one guess as to whether to start or sit Peterson this week.
Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers
Fantasy owners have to be encouraged with what Adams did with Brett Hundley as his quarterback last week. Adams caught five passes for 90 yards and a touchdown and dominated the team’s target share with eight. The next closest receivers, Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb, had just four targets apiece. The news bodes well for Adams’ fantasy value in the long term but his matchup this Sunday against Baltimore isn’t very appealing. The Ravens surrender just over 40 yards a game to top opposing wideouts.
Adam Thielen, WR, Minnesota Vikings
Thielen is a legitimate candidate for value draft pick or waiver wire target of the year as he’s a top five fantasy receiver this season. The entire Minnesota offense has been booming this season come to think of it. That said, I understand most people won’t or can’t afford to sit Thielen but the matchup is bad. The Rams have allowed just five touchdowns to receivers all season according to Pro Football Reference. And the receivers who have caught touchdowns against them aren’t fantasy relevant (Houston’s Bruce Ellington and New York’s Tavarres King have scored in recent weeks). Teams are finding it much easier to run the football against Los Angeles which creates fewer opportunities for receivers. Again, fantasy owners most likely have to put Theilen in their lineups but be prepared for disappointment.