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Did the Broncos land the right quarterback? The numbers tell a story.

March 13, 2018 Updated: March 14, 2018 at 3:21 pm
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Note: What do Broncos fans think of Case Keenum coming to Denver? Mobile readers can see see our unofficial poll at the bottom of this story while desktop readers can see it to the right.

Would the Broncos have been better with Kirk Cousins instead Case Keenum?

Modern analytics says no.

Using ESPN’s advanced Total QBR formula, Keenum ranked at 69.7 last year. That’s second behind Carson Wentz (75.9) and ahead of Tom Brady and the rest of the NFL.

Paul Klee: Keenum idea is better for the Broncos than Cousins.

Cousins came in 15th, behind luminaries like Blake Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) and Tyrod Taylor (Cleveland Browns, after traded from Buffalo).

The frequent criticism of Keenum that 2017 was a career year, an aberration, has merit, but less than is being billed.

Although often maligned by the talking heads on TV, Keenum’s two seasons as the part-time starter for a really bad St. Louis/Los Angeles Rams team were better than advertised.

He was 3-2 in 2015, a season in which future Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles began the season as the starter. Foles went 4-7. Keenum opened the 2016 season posting a 4-5 record for the Rams. Top draft pick Jared Goff took over as starter and went 0-7.

Put those together and Keenum was 7-7 on teams that went 4-14 without him. Overall, Keenum is 18-10 in games he’s started since 2015.

That record would be a step in the right direction for Denver.

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