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The Arctic sets record for low levels of sea ice

By: Chris Mooney, The Washington Post
March 22, 2017 Updated: March 22, 2017 at 5:50 pm
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On March 7, 2017, Arctic sea ice hit a record low wintertime maximum extent in 2017. At 5.57 million square miles, it is the lowest maximum extent in the satellite record, and 455,600 square miles below the 1981 to 2010 average maximum extent. MUST CREDIT: NASA Goddard; Scientific Visualization Studio, L. Perkins

Floating sea ice at the top of the world has set another troubling record for its low spatial extent, shattering a prior record set just two years ago for this key component of the planet's climate system.

According to the National Snow and Ice Data Center, the sheet of Arctic sea ice, which expands and contracts in an annual cycle, probably reached its maximum size this year on March 7, when it spanned 14.42 million square kilometers or 5.57 million square miles atop the Arctic ocean. That's an enormous area, but it's also the smallest winter maximum extent ever observed in records dating back to the year 1979.

A low ice extent at the peak of winter is troubling because from here on out, the ice will continue to shrink all the way into September, exposing ever more of the Arctic ocean to the sun's warming rays and storing up heat in the system.

The peak Arctic sea ice extent this winter is considerably lower than in either 2015 or 2016, both of which were also extremely low years and vied for the prior record. Extent peaked at 14.517 million square kilometers in 2015 and 14.521 million square kilometers in 2016, according to data from the National Snow and Ice Data Center. Thus, the maximum extent this year was about 100,000 square kilometers less than in these prior years, or 38,600 square miles. That's an area about the size of Indiana.

And this is part of a trend, notes NASA, which funds the National Snow and Ice Data Center and also hailed the record. "The Arctic's sea ice maximum extent has dropped by an average of 2.8 percent per decade since 1979," noted the agency.

Extremely low ice at this time of year may partly reflect the fact that over the course of the winter of 2016-2017, the Arctic region was buffeted by very strange weather. "Overall warm conditions were punctuated by a series of extreme heat waves over the Arctic Ocean," reports the center.

The month of February in the Arctic, the most recent full month, also showed record low sea ice extent:

On top of all of that, the overall thickness or volume of Arctic sea ice is also at a record low right now, according to researchers at the Polar Science Center at the University of Washington in Seattle, and this is possibly an even more important observation. If the ice emerges from winter in a particularly thin state, then it has less of a chance of staying frozen throughout the remainder of the year as temperatures rise.

The loss of this so-called "multiyear ice" in the Arctic - ice that lasts in a frozen state for more than a year - is one factor that's likely driving the decline of Arctic sea ice overall.

A lessening of the overall amount of ice covering the Arctic ocean weakens its core role in the broader climate system, which is to reflect sunlight away from the Earth. The less solar energy bouncing back to space, the more will remain to seep into the Arctic ocean, preventing the regrowth of ice later (a classic feedback in the climate system) and helping to melt seafront glaciers in Greenland and the Canadian and Alaskan Arctic.

It isn't just the Arctic, either. From pole to pole, floating sea ice has been at extremely low levels in recent months. In the Antarctic summer, it recently plunged to an record low, also based on National Snow and Ice Data Center satellite data sets going back to the year 1979.

But overall, Antarctic ice has shown a far more unpredictable pattern than has ice in the Arctic, bouncing around dramatically in recent years and actually trending upward slightly overall - a behavior that has puzzled scientists. In contrast, the overall sea ice trend in the Arctic is an unmistakable downward trajectory, raising fears that it won't be too long until we encounter an entirely ice free Arctic in the summer time.

The resulting social and commercial transformation of the Arctic is already well underway as a result. The luxury cruise ship the Crystal Serenity is planning its second summer voyage through the Northwest Passage and the islands of the Canadian Arctic archipelago later this year, ferrying passengers on a month long journey between Alaska and New York.

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